‘I’d go to church just to reduce the probability of spending eternity in Hell with Richard Dawkins’

I’d go to church just to reduce the probability of spending eternity in Hell with Richard Dawkins writes Dr. Tim Stanley

The probability of God existing might be low but the consequences if he does are high.  Vice versa, the probability of God not existing might be high but the consequences of that outcome are very low.

Consider the calculations that a man makes when insuring his house from fire.  If the chances of his houses catching fire are just one-in-a-hundred, he might forgo purchasing insurance because he gambles that he’s unlikely to ever need it.  Yet all of us would still make the purchase because the consequences of that one-in-a-hundred accident happening are so unbearably dire.  A single, improbable spark could destroy everything.  Therefore, the man buys the insurance.

If Dawkins is playing the law of averages, then he has to make the same calculation about God.  To be sure, he only acknowledges a 1.5 percent chance that the Almighty exists.  If his gamble is proven right, then Dawkins will die and suffer no consequences.  But if that 1.5 percent chance comes through, the consequences are hugely disproportionate to the stakes.  One of the reasons why I go to Church is that I don’t want to run the risk of spending eternity in Hell with Richard Dawkins.  Even a 1.5 percent risk isn’t worth running.

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